[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"glossary-term:bookmaker::tr":3,"glossary-all::tr":10},{"slug":4,"category":5,"title":6,"body":7,"meta_desc":8,"related":9},"bookmaker","sports","Bahisçi (Bookmaker)","Bahisçi ya da günlük dilde \"bookie\", etkinliklerin sonuçlarına bahis kabul eden, oranları belirleyen ve kazananları ödeyen lisanslı bir kuruluştur. İş modeli, fiyatlara yerleştirilen marjın — vig, overround ya da juice olarak da bilinir — üzerine kuruludur: bu marj sayesinde dengeli bir aksiyonda bahisçi, sonuçtan bağımsız olarak toplam bahisin bir bölümünü elde tutar.\n\nBahisçiyi anlamanın anahtarı overround'dur. Bir piyasadaki oranların ima ettiği olasılıklar kasıtlı olarak toplamda %100'ü aşar; fazlalık bahisçinin teorik kar marjıdır.\n\nPratik örnek: iki yönlü bir piyasada bahisçi her iki tarafı da adaletli fiyat olan 2.00 yerine 1.90'dan fiyatlandırır. 1.90, 1\u002F1.90 = %52,6 olasılık ima eder; iki taraf birlikte %52,6 + %52,6 = %105,3 eder. Bu %5,3'lük overround bahisçinin yerleşik avantajıdır. Her iki tarafa eşit para alınırsa hangi taraf kazanırsa kazansın, bahisçi topladığından daha azını öder — dengeli ve kârlı bir pozisyonun tanımı budur.\n\nNeden önemlidir? Aldığınız her fiyat bu marjı zaten içermektedir; bu nedenle uzun vadede bahisçiyi yenmek, sürekli olarak gerçek olasılığın üzerinde oranlar bulmayı gerektirir.\n\nBahisçiler riski nasıl yönetir? Her iki tarafta da sorumluluğu dengelemeye çalışırlar; para geldikçe oranları ayarlarlar: çok bahis gelen tarafı kısaltır, diğerini uzatırlar. bet365, William Hill, Betway gibi büyük küresel operatörler bu modeli uygular.\n\nSık yapılan hata: gösterilen oranların gerçek kazanma ihtimalini yansıttığını sanmak. Oranlar, hem overround hem de bahisçinin paranın nereye akmasını istediği doğrultusunda şekillendirilmiştir; tarafsız bir tahmin değildir.\n\nİlgili terimler: Vig, İma Edilen Olasılık, Bahis Hattı.","Bahisçi (bookmaker), spor ve diğer etkinliklere bahis kabul eden, oranları belirleyen ve kazananları ödeyen lisanslı kişi ya da 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